Who is Tina Kotek and what is Kotek running on in the 2026 Oregon Governor race?
Tina Kotek (D) is favored in the 2026 Oregon Governor race, with about a 88% chance of winning, according to Kalshi on Sept 9.
Tina Kotek is the Democratic candidate for Oregon governor, and the incumbent. Governor of Oregon since 2023; former Speaker of the Oregon House. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
- The seat: Tina Kotek (D) seeking a second term; rematch of 2022.
- Rating: Likely D (Cook, July 2026).
- Polling: Drazan 48, Kotek 44 (Public Opinion Strategies, Drazan internal, late June 2026); no independent public poll found.
Why Kotek is ahead
- Oregon’s Democratic lean and Kotek’s money and labor backing ($10.1M raised; Drazan trails by $3.9M).
- Democrats tie Drazan to Trump’s unpopular agenda in a blue state.
- Drazan is competitive because of voter dissatisfaction with Kotek on homelessness, the economy and schools; forecasters moved the race toward the GOP in summer 2026.
- Only poll showing Drazan ahead is her own internal; Kotek’s approval is modest (48/42, Morning Consult).
What Kotek is running on
- Housing / homelessness. Statewide homelessness emergency; touts 6,200+ shelter beds and 2,800 affordable homes.
- Education. Investing in early literacy, summer learning and childcare access.
- Cost of living. Cancelled freeway tolls, pushed utility rate controls and banned hidden fees.
- Trump. Frames her campaign as protecting Oregon from Trump administration policies, including federal food-benefit cuts.
- Abortion / voting. Protect abortion access and vote-by-mail.
- Mental health. Expand mental health and addiction care.
In Kotek’s own words
“I’m running for reelection because Oregon values are on the line”
“Being a governor right now means protecting our state, defending our values”
The other candidates
Every race
See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.
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