Who is David Brock Smith and what is Smith running on in the 2026 Oregon Senate race?
David Brock Smith (R) is a long shot in the 2026 Oregon Senate race, with about a 2% chance of winning, according to Kalshi on Sept 9.
David Brock Smith is the Republican candidate for Oregon U.S. Senate. Oregon state senator for the South Coast since 2017; former Port Orford city councilor and family restaurateur; Trump supporter. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Kalshi, Sept 9
- The seat: Jeff Merkley (D) seeking a fourth term.
- Rating: Solid D (Cook).
Why Smith is behind
- Oregon is D+8 and Republicans have not won a Senate seat there since 2002.
- Merkley is a three-term incumbent who took 93% in his primary.
- Huge money gap: Merkley raised $7.89M vs Brock Smith’s ~$121K as of June 30, 2026.
- Brock Smith won a fractured GOP primary with only 29.5%.
What Smith is running on
- Cost of living. Pledges to make everyday life more affordable for working families.
- Public safety / homelessness. Promises to address public safety and homelessness ‘with accountability’.
- Economy / data centers. Backed the Oregon JOBS Act for advanced manufacturing; voted against the POWER Act over concerns it would deter tech investment.
- Wildfire policy. Supported repealing the state Wildfire Hazard Map.
- Elections. Introduced legislation to end Oregon’s vote-by-mail system.
- Rural voice. Running to represent rural communities, farmers, fishermen and small businesses.
In Smith’s own words
“I’m running to give a voice to the people who feel forgotten, the workers, parents, farmers, fishermen, small business owners, and rural communities who keep Oregon moving.”
The other candidates
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