Who is Mike Collins and what is Collins running on in the 2026 Georgia Senate race?
Mike Collins (R) is a long shot in the 2026 Georgia Senate race, with about a 4% chance of winning, according to Kalshi on Oct 1.
Mike Collins is the Republican candidate for Georgia U.S. Senate. U.S. Representative for Georgia’s 10th district since 2023; trucking-company owner and son of a former congressman; Trump-endorsed; beat Derek Dooley 55.5 to 44.5 in the June 16 runoff. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Kalshi, Oct 1
- The seat: Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff seeking a second term.
- Rating: Lean D (Cook, RCP).
- Polling: Ossoff 50.7, Collins 42.9 (polling average as of Aug 18, 2026, per Wikipedia); latest: InsiderAdvantage Aug 16 to 17, Ossoff 50, Collins 43.
Why Collins is behind
- Ossoff has led every listed poll (by 4 to 13 points), with an average lead of about 8.
- Overwhelming money edge: $97.9M raised vs Collins’s $7.4M through June 30.
- Collins came out of a bruising primary and runoff against Kemp-backed Derek Dooley, is closely tied to Trump amid weak Trump approval, and faces a House ethics complaint.
- Crossover support: former GOP Sen. Jeff Flake endorsed Ossoff in August 2026, citing character.
What Collins is running on
- Immigration. Author of the Laken Riley Act on detaining immigrants accused of certain crimes; makes border security his main contrast with Ossoff.
- Trump. Self-described ‘MAGA warrior’ running on ‘America First’ policies.
- Ideology. Frames the race as results-driven leadership against what he calls the ‘socialist movement’.
The other candidates
Every race
See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.
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