Who is Marquita Bradshaw and what is Bradshaw running on in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race?
Marquita Bradshaw (D) is a long shot in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, with about a 3% chance of winning, according to Kalshi and Polymarket on Sept 9.
Answer from Mary's digital twin. Checkmark turns Green once she confirms it.
Marquita Bradshaw is the Democratic candidate for Tennessee U.S. Senate. Memphis environmental justice activist; 2020 Democratic Senate nominee; won the 2026 primary with 54.8%. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Kalshi and Polymarket, Sept 9
- The seat: Incumbent Bill Hagerty (R) seeking a second term; rematch of 2020.
- Rating: Solid R (Cook, RealClearPolitics).
- Polling: Hagerty 58, Bradshaw 33 (Beacon Center, released Sept 3, 2026).
Why Bradshaw is behind
- Democrats have not won a Tennessee Senate race since 1990.
- Hagerty beat Bradshaw by about 62% in 2020 and has a vast money edge (~$16M raised vs a few thousand for Bradshaw in the primary phase).
- Trump-endorsed incumbent leads by 25 points, even though Trump’s approval in Tennessee has slipped to 48/51.
What Bradshaw is running on
Bradshaw’s campaign has published little on specific policies so far. This page will be updated as positions are set out.
The other candidates
Every race
See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.
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