Who is Lisa Demuth and what is Demuth running on in the 2026 Minnesota Governor race?
Lisa Demuth (R) is a long shot in the 2026 Minnesota Governor race, with about a 8% chance of winning, according to Polymarket on Sept 30.
Lisa Demuth is the Republican candidate for Minnesota governor. Speaker of the Minnesota House since 2025; state representative since 2019; former Cold Spring school board member; first Republican woman nominated for MN governor. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Polymarket, Sept 30
- The seat: Open seat (Gov. Tim Walz abandoned his re-election bid in Jan 2026 amid fraud scrutiny).
- Rating: Likely D (Decision Desk HQ, Sept 30, 2026).
- Polling: Klobuchar 47, Demuth 40 (SurveyUSA, Sept 16, 2026); co/efficient Sept 15: Klobuchar 47, Demuth 45.
Why Demuth is behind
- Klobuchar has led every poll listed, though the margin narrowed from 16 points in August to 2 to 7 points in mid-September.
- Klobuchar is a well-known three-term senator with a large money advantage ($9.3M raised by July) over Demuth.
- She has addressed the fraud scandal directly with a Day 1 top-to-bottom audit pledge.
- Demuth’s opening: she beat the Trump-endorsed Mike Lindell and is running on the fraud issue and tax cuts.
What Demuth is running on
- Taxes. Wants to cut income taxes.
- Seniors. Would end state taxes on Social Security benefits.
- Fraud. Fraud-prevention plan with a ‘fraud czar’ appointed through the Lieutenant Governor’s office.
- Social safety net. Focuses on fraud in Minnesota’s social-services programs.
The other candidates
Every race
See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.
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