Who is Larry Marker and what is Marker running on in the 2026 New Mexico Senate race?
Larry Marker (R) is a long shot in the 2026 New Mexico Senate race, with about a 3% chance of winning, according to Kalshi and Polymarket on Sept 10.
Larry Marker is the Republican candidate for New Mexico U.S. Senate. Roswell oil and gas businessman; past unsuccessful runs for land commissioner and state senate; nominated via write-in. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Kalshi and Polymarket, Sept 10
- The seat: Incumbent Ben Ray Luján (D) seeking a second term.
- Rating: Solid D (Cook, Inside Elections).
- Polling: Luján 53, Marker 38 (Research & Polling Inc., Aug 21 to 28, 2026).
Why Marker is behind
- Luján leads by 15 in the Albuquerque Journal’s Research & Polling survey.
- Republicans have not won a NM Senate race since 2002, and their nominee won only as a write-in after the sole ballot candidate was disqualified.
- Luján outraised Marker $8.3M to $33K as of June 30.
What Marker is running on
- Debt. Top concerns are the federal debt and Social Security’s stability.
- Immigration. A strong, secure border plus simpler legal migration.
- Data centers. Site data centers away from towns and water tables, like feedlots.
- Trump. Backs most Trump policies but opposes tariffs and challenges his war powers.
- Elections. Trusts county clerks; opposes federal control of elections.
The other candidates
Every race
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