Who is Brian Bengs and what is Bengs running on in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race?
Brian Bengs (I) is a long shot in the 2026 South Dakota Senate race, with about a 10% chance of winning, according to Kalshi and Polymarket on Oct 1.
Brian Bengs is the independent candidate for South Dakota U.S. Senate. Independent; South Dakota native, Navy and Air Force veteran and former JAG attorney; taught at Northern State University; 2022 Democratic Senate nominee against John Thune. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Kalshi and Polymarket, Oct 1
- The seat: Incumbent Mike Rounds (R) seeking a third term; Democrat Julian Beaudoin withdrew Aug 4 to 6, 2026 and was not replaced.
- Rating: Solid R (Cook).
- Polling: Rounds 45, Bengs 42 (Public Policy Polling, Sept 2026).
Why Bengs is behind
- Republicans have not lost a South Dakota Senate race since 2008; two-term incumbent and former governor.
- Money gap: Rounds $4.5M raised vs Bengs $782K as of June 30, 2026.
- Race has become a head-to-head with independent Bengs after the Democrat dropped out; state Democrats are not endorsing Bengs.
- A September PPP poll shows the margin shrinking to 3 points from 13 in July, which explains Bengs’ roughly 10% market price.
What Bengs is running on
- Money in politics. Calls big money the biggest problem in government; backs public campaign financing and a constitutional amendment strategy.
- Healthcare. Proposes expanding the ACA and its subsidies, lowering the Medicare age to 55, and a public option funded by taxes on billionaires and corporations.
- Term limits. Supports two-term Senate and six-term House limits and pledges to follow them himself.
- Agriculture / antitrust. Wants aggressive antitrust enforcement against Big Ag and meatpacker consolidation.
- Senate control. Aims to deny either party a Senate majority.
In Bengs’s own words
“The single biggest problem for our government in its entirety is big money controlling the system.”
The other candidates
Every race
See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.
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