Who is Brad Little and what is Little running on in the 2026 Idaho Governor race?
Brad Little (R) is the heavy favorite in the 2026 Idaho Governor race, with about a 98% chance of winning, according to Kalshi and Polymarket on Oct 1.
Answer from Mary's digital twin. Checkmark turns Green once she confirms it.
Brad Little is the Republican candidate for Idaho governor, and the incumbent. Governor of Idaho since 2019; rancher from Emmett; former lieutenant governor and state senator. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Kalshi and Polymarket, Oct 1
- The seat: Incumbent Brad Little (R) seeking third term.
- Rating: Solid R (Cook).
- Polling: Little 48, Pickens 27, Stegner 11 (July 2026 poll cited on Wikipedia; pollster not captured).
Why Little is ahead
- Idaho’s strong Republican lean, plus a Trump endorsement for Little.
- Polling lead of about 20 points, with the opposition split between Democrat Pickens and independent Stegner.
- Money: Little had raised $2.1M vs $393K for Stegner, the best-funded challenger.
- Little beat a right-wing primary challenge with 59%.
What Little is running on
- Taxes. Campaigns on delivering historic tax relief.
- Education and infrastructure. Points to record investment in schools, public safety and infrastructure.
- Regulation. Promises to keep cutting red tape and expanding freedom.
- Trump. Has Trump’s endorsement and runs as an ally of the president.
In Little’s own words
“Together, we’ve made Idaho the most prosperous state in the nation while fiercely defending our enduring core values, faith, family, and freedom.”
The other candidates
Every race
See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.
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