Who is Angie Nixon and what is Nixon running on in the 2026 Florida Senate special election race?
Angie Nixon (D) is a long shot in the 2026 Florida Senate special election race, with about a 10% chance of winning, according to Kalshi and Polymarket on Sept 28.
Answer from Mary's digital twin. Checkmark turns Green once she confirms it.
Angie Nixon is the Democratic candidate for Florida U.S. Senate (special election). Florida state representative from Jacksonville since 2020; progressive; beat the better-funded Alex Vindman 55.4 to 44.6 in the Aug 18, 2026 primary. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Kalshi and Polymarket, Sept 28
- The seat: Special election for the rest of Marco Rubio’s term (to Jan 2029); appointed Republican Ashley Moody is running.
- Rating: Solid R (Cook, per Aug 2026 reports).
- Polling: Moody 45.2, Nixon 44.8 (St. Pete Polls for Florida Politics, published ~Sept 18, 2026); earlier Quantus Moody +7 and UNF (July) Moody +8.
Why Nixon is behind
- Florida has ~1.5M more registered Republicans than Democrats and has not elected a Democratic senator since 2012.
- Moody has Trump’s endorsement, appointed-incumbent status, and endorsements from 64 of 67 sheriffs.
- Nixon, a self-described democratic socialist, is seen as a tough fit statewide, though a mid-Sept poll showed a near-tie amid low Trump approval over the Iran war and the economy.
- Nixon attacks Moody over a grand jury report finding $10M was misappropriated to the Hope Florida Foundation while Moody was Attorney General (no indictments).
What Nixon is running on
- Wages / economy. Economic populist who backs a higher minimum wage and higher taxes on billionaires.
- Healthcare. Backs Medicare for All and attacks Moody’s vote against extending ACA subsidies.
- Child care. Backs government-funded universal child care.
- Immigration. Rejects ‘open borders’ and supports a pathway to citizenship for people with Temporary Protected Status.
- Foreign policy. Opposes sending money or weapons to Israel at this time.
- Policing. Does not support defunding the police; backs criminal-justice reform and opposes for-profit prisons.
In Nixon’s own words
“I do not support sending any money or any weapons to Israel at this moment.”
“I don’t support defunding the police”
The other candidates
Every race
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