Politics

Why did Germany's Friedrich Merz cancel his trip to New York to speak at the UNGA?

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz canceled his UNGA trip because a political crisis at home made leaving Berlin impossible: his party had just suffered a crushing defeat to the far-right Alternative for Germany in state elections, and his hold on the chancellorship was shaking.

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Friedrich Merz, Germany's chancellor, had been scheduled to address the 81st UN General Assembly in New York. His office gave a terse official reason: "Contrary to initial plans, the Chancellor will not travel to New York next week, as his presence in Berlin is required." But the real story was a political emergency unfolding at home.

The election disaster behind it

The CDU, Merz's Christian Democratic Union, had just suffered a severe loss in the state of Saxony-Anhalt, where the AfD (Alternative for Germany, the far-right party) secured 43.8% of the vote, leaving the CDU a distant second at 17.2%. That result set off an internal revolt. On Monday, the CDU's top leadership bodies were set to meet, and on Tuesday, the CDU/CSU parliamentary group in the Bundestag (Germany's federal parliament) was convening as well.

His UNGA speech had been scheduled for late Wednesday afternoon, three days after state elections in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern and Berlin, two elections seen as crucial to the chancellor's political future. Flying to New York in the middle of all that was simply not survivable politics.

How bad is his position

An INSA poll found that a majority of CDU voters no longer support the chancellor, while 78% of the general public disapprove of his leadership. The domestic pressures go beyond the elections: his party has been trailing the AfD in opinion polls for over a year, ordinary citizens have been told to work more and warned that the welfare state can no longer be financed, and his government announced new social spending cuts and plans to raise the retirement age from 67 to 70.

The UNGA trip was collateral damage. When a leader's grip on power is slipping day by day, the last place they can afford to be is 3,700 miles away.

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