Who is Bruce Blakeman and what is Blakeman running on in the 2026 New York Governor race?
Bruce Blakeman (R) is a long shot in the 2026 New York Governor race, with about a 6% chance of winning, according to Kalshi on Sept 29.
Bruce Blakeman is the Republican candidate for New York governor. Nassau County Executive; Trump-endorsed Republican nominee. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Kalshi, Sept 29
- The seat: Incumbent Kathy Hochul (D) seeking a second full term.
- Polling: Hochul 50, Blakeman 41 (Siena, Sept 11 to 17, 2026).
Why Blakeman is behind
- New York hasn’t elected a Republican governor in 24 years and Democrats have a 2-to-1 enrollment edge (Siena’s Steve Greenberg).
- Hochul leads by 9 in the latest Siena poll and is preferred on affordability, public safety and immigration.
- Trump’s endorsement of Blakeman is viewed negatively by 51%; Blakeman leads independents and upstate, and the race tightened from a 20-point June lead.
- Hochul is cross-endorsed by the Working Families Party.
What Blakeman is running on
- Cost of living. Promises to ‘make New York affordable again’, attacking higher taxes, rents and utility bills.
- Crime. Says crime is up under Hochul and pledges public safety.
- Population. Wants to stop families leaving the state.
In Blakeman’s own words
“Kathy Hochul’s New York is a disaster: taxes are up, rents are up, utility bills are up, crime is up, and families are fleeing the state.”
The other candidates
Every race
See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.
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