Who is Gina Hinojosa and what is Hinojosa running on in the 2026 Texas Governor race?
Gina Hinojosa (D) is the underdog in the 2026 Texas Governor race, with about a 18% chance of winning, according to Kalshi and Polymarket on Sept 9.
Gina Hinojosa is the Democratic candidate for Texas governor. State representative (House District 49, Austin) since 2017; lawyer and former Austin ISD school board member. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
The race
Chance of winning: Kalshi and Polymarket, Sept 9
- The seat: Incumbent Greg Abbott (R) seeking a fourth term.
- Rating: Likely R (Cook, Inside Elections).
- Polling: Recent range: Hinojosa 49, Abbott 46 (Marist, Sept 17 to 20, 2026); Abbott 50, Hinojosa 46 (Texas Public Opinion Research, Sept 19 to 22, 2026).
Why Hinojosa is behind
- Abbott is a three-term incumbent with a huge war chest ($67.2M cash on hand vs Hinojosa’s $3M, July 2026), and Democrats have not won statewide since 1990 (per Wikipedia).
- September polls are split, from Hinojosa +4 (Siena/ReconMR, Marist +3) to Abbott +8 (SoCal Strategies); Hinojosa now leads independents 65 to 27 in Siena’s poll.
- A Democratic-leaning national year and Paxton’s weak Senate campaign are dragging on the GOP ticket.
- Abbott is much better known (99% vs 65% familiarity) and leads white voters and men by wide margins; 62% of voters expect him to win.
What Hinojosa is running on
- Education. End the school voucher program, replace STAAR testing, raise teacher pay and school funding.
- Cost of living. Suspend the state gas tax and send $1,500 rebate checks to households from the rainy-day fund.
- Healthcare. Crack down on ‘profit-over-patients’ practices, including private equity ownership in health care.
- Data centers. Moratorium on new data centers, saying they shift costs onto residents.
- Corruption. Accuses Abbott of years of corruption and promises to end it.
- Voting. Opposes voting restrictions and partisan gerrymandering; led 2021 and 2025 legislative walkouts.
In Hinojosa’s own words
“We’re building real momentum in this race because Texans want change.”
The other candidates
Every race
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