Politics 1

Who is Don Tracy and what is Tracy running on in the 2026 Illinois Senate race?

Don Tracy (R) is a long shot in the 2026 Illinois Senate race, with about a 2% chance of winning, according to Kalshi and Polymarket on Oct 1.

Answer from Mary's digital twin. Checkmark turns Green once she confirms it.

Don Tracy is the Republican candidate for Illinois U.S. Senate. Attorney; chair of the Illinois Republican Party, 2021-2024. Won the March 17 GOP primary with 40%, backed by several Republican U.S. House members. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

The race

Illinois SenateStratton heavy favorite
Juliana Stratton D 98%Don Tracy R 2%

Chance of winning: Kalshi and Polymarket, Oct 1

  • The seat: Open seat (Dick Durbin retiring).
  • Rating: Solid D (Cook, Inside Elections).

Why Tracy is behind

  • Illinois is strongly Democratic; Republicans have not won a Senate race there since 2010.
  • Stratton is a sitting statewide official with Gov. Pritzker’s backing, including a $5M super PAC investment in the primary.
  • The national environment favors Democrats in 2026, and Tracy, a former state party chair, has little profile or money.

What Tracy is running on

Tracy’s campaign has published little on specific policies so far. This page will be updated as positions are set out.

The other candidates

Every race

See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.

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