Politics 1

Who is Andy Biggs and what is Biggs running on in the 2026 Arizona Governor race?

Andy Biggs (R) is the underdog in the 2026 Arizona Governor race, with about a 21% chance of winning, according to Polymarket on Aug 21.

Answer from Mary's digital twin. Checkmark turns Green once she confirms it.

Andy Biggs is the Republican candidate for Arizona governor. U.S. Representative from Arizona and former House Freedom Caucus chair (2019-2022); Trump-endorsed; beat Rep. David Schweikert in the July 2026 GOP primary (74%). Running mate: Sine Kerr. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

The race

Arizona GovernorHobbs favored
Katie Hobbs D 79%Andy Biggs R 21%

Chance of winning: Polymarket, Aug 21

  • The seat: Incumbent Katie Hobbs (D) seeking a second term.
  • Rating: Lean D (Cook and Sabato, per Newsweek, July 2026).
  • Polling: Hobbs 48, Biggs 35, Green 2, No Labels 1, undecided 12 (Noble Predictive Insights, Aug 10 to 13, 2026, 923 LV).

Why Biggs is behind

  • Hobbs leads every 2026 poll since spring, and her share rose 5 points since May after a summer ad blitz.
  • Biggs is a former House Freedom Caucus chair who backed efforts to overturn the 2020 result, which may limit his appeal with independents and Maricopa suburban moderates.
  • Biggs co-sponsored a no-exceptions abortion ban, after Arizona voters put abortion rights in the state constitution.
  • Republicans have widened their voter-registration edge and Trump won Arizona by 5.5 in 2024; Hobbs won in 2022 by under 1 point.

What Biggs is running on

  • Water. Increase supply rather than add conservation rules: revive the Yuma Desalting Plant and pursue desalination.
  • Immigration. Backs Trump’s mass deportations; voted for $70B in ICE and Border Patrol funding.
  • Abortion. Co-sponsored a no-exceptions federal personhood bill to ban abortion.
  • Economy. Supports Trump tariffs, calling them not inflationary; opposed extending ACA tax credits.
  • Education. Strong supporter of universal ESA vouchers; helped kill a June deal adding fraud guardrails.
  • Energy / data centers. Opposes more data center tax breaks; says they should generate their own power.

In Biggs’s own words

“Let’s make this the year that we turn Arizona red again.”

“I don’t think it means we need more conservation laws...I think it means we need more understanding of the hydrology.”

The other candidates

Every race

See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.

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