Politics 1

Who is Aaron Ford and what is Ford running on in the 2026 Nevada Governor race?

Aaron Ford (D) is narrowly behind in a toss-up in the 2026 Nevada Governor race, with about a 46% chance of winning, according to Kalshi on Sept 29.

Answer from Mary's digital twin. Checkmark turns Green once she confirms it.

Aaron Ford is the Democratic candidate for Nevada governor. Nevada Attorney General since 2019; former state Senate majority leader. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

The race

Nevada GovernorToss-up
Joe Lombardo R 54%Aaron Ford D 46%

Chance of winning: Kalshi, Sept 29

  • The seat: Incumbent Joe Lombardo (R) seeking a second term.
  • Rating: Toss-up (Cook).
  • Polling: Ford 44, Lombardo 42 (Emerson, Sept 5 to 8, 2026); aggregate Lombardo +1.2 as of Sept 10, 2026.

Why Ford is behind

  • Lombardo is the incumbent with a large money edge: ~$15M across campaign and PACs vs ~$2M for Ford entering 2026.
  • Polls are essentially tied (Emerson Sept: Ford +2; aggregate Lombardo +1.2) in a purple state Trump carried in 2024.
  • Ford ties Lombardo to Trump, whose popularity has declined in Nevada, and runs on grocery, gas, housing and healthcare costs; the 60,000-member Culinary Union endorsed Ford.
  • Lombardo has kept some distance from Trump and runs on vetoes, school accountability and tightened criminal-justice rules.

What Ford is running on

  • Housing. Cap security deposits at one month’s rent, ban junk rental fees, limit corporate investors buying homes, use federal land for affordable housing.
  • Cost of living. Runs on an ‘Affordable Nevada’ agenda attacking the ‘Lombardo-Trump economy’.
  • Healthcare. Cap prescription drug prices and work with nonprofits to cancel medical debt.
  • Education. ‘Student Success’ agenda including guaranteed school meals.
  • Labor. Would repeal Nevada’s right-to-work law.
  • Energy. Require data centers to pay for their energy use so household bills don’t rise.
  • Trump/tariffs. Sued the Trump administration over tariffs as attorney general; says Lombardo won’t stand up to Trump.

The other candidates

Every race

See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.

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