Politics 1

Who is Mike Mazzei and what is Mazzei running on in the 2026 Oklahoma Governor race?

Mike Mazzei (R) is the heavy favorite in the 2026 Oklahoma Governor race, with about a 91% chance of winning, according to Kalshi on Sept 9.

Answer from Mary's digital twin. Checkmark turns Green once she confirms it.

Mike Mazzei is the Republican candidate for Oklahoma governor. Former Oklahoma state senator; won the GOP runoff over Attorney General Gentner Drummond in Aug 2026; has put about $11M of his own money into his campaign. Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

The race

Oklahoma GovernorMazzei heavy favorite
Mike Mazzei R 91%Cyndi Munson D 9%

Chance of winning: Kalshi, Sept 9

  • The seat: Open seat (Kevin Stitt term-limited).
  • Rating: Decision Desk HQ: Mazzei 97% win probability, projected R+27 (Sept 2026).

Why Mazzei is ahead

  • Oklahoma is deeply Republican: 53.7% GOP vs 25.1% Democratic registration.
  • Mazzei emerged from a bruising, divided runoff, beating AG Gentner Drummond with 50.3% on Aug 25.
  • Munson pitches crossover appeal and attacks Mazzei’s self-funding, but no public head-to-head polls exist.

What Mazzei is running on

  • Income tax. Eliminate the state income tax within six years, cutting the rate from 4.5% to 3% in year one.
  • Property tax. Eliminate property taxes for seniors 65+ and military veterans.
  • Spending. Create a state ‘Department of Government Efficiency’, use performance-based budgeting, end corporate subsidies including tax breaks for green energy and data centers.
  • Education. Hire a statewide literacy director and adopt a third-grade reading gate; more classroom transparency for parents.
  • Pensions. Plans to shore up law enforcement pension systems while keeping defined benefits.
  • Industry / environment. Supports the Inola aluminum smelter with strict Clean Air compliance and independent monitoring.

In Mazzei’s own words

“As Governor I will make decisions through three filters: one the Bible, two the Constitution, and three can we afford it.”

“I plan on hiring a statewide literacy director and implementing what’s called a third-grade reading gate.”

The other candidates

Every race

See every Senate and governor race on the ballot, with each candidate’s chance of winning: the 2026 midterms at a glance.

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