Politics 10

What will the significance of Scott Colom winning Mississippi be?

The race is still being counted, but if Scott Colom's lead holds, it will be one of the most consequential upsets in modern American political history: the first Black senator elected from Mississippi since Reconstruction, and the first Democrat the state has sent to the Senate in more than 40 years.

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What is happening right now

Scott Colom, a 43-year-old district attorney and Democrat, is leading incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith by roughly 1,764 votes, with about 96% of ballots counted. The Colom campaign estimates between 10,000 and 15,000 affidavit ballots remain outstanding statewide. Because federal general elections in Mississippi do not trigger a runoff, the candidate who finishes with a plurality will claim the seat. The race has not been called.

The historical weight

If Colom wins, he would become Mississippi's first Democratic senator since the final election of John C. Stennis in 1982, and even more historically significant, the first Black senator from Mississippi since Blanche K. Bruce, who took office in 1875 during Reconstruction and left office in 1881. Bruce was Mississippi's second Black U.S. senator after Hiram Revels. That is a gap of roughly 145 years.

"You can't talk about the struggle for Black freedom without talking about Mississippi, and that is why the symbolism of this moment is so powerful."

Why this shocked everyone

Every major forecaster rated this race as "Likely R" or "Safe R" entering election night. A Democratic victory would be a remarkable shift in a state that President Donald Trump won by a nearly 23-point margin just two years ago. Black Mississippians favored Colom 91% to Hyde-Smith's 7%, and political analysts said that combination of strong Black turnout plus a quarter of white Mississippians' support was key for a Democrat to win.

Voters across Mississippi described Election Day lines as unlike anything they'd seen before, and a University of Mississippi political science professor noted that Colom's vote total was already approaching the number of votes Kamala Harris received in Mississippi during the 2024 presidential election.

How Colom got here

A seventh-generation Mississippian raised in Columbus, Colom comes from a family with deep legal and political ties: his mother, retired Judge Dorothy Colom, was the first Black person elected to serve on her region's Chancery Court. In 2015, he defeated a 27-year incumbent to become district attorney for Mississippi's 16th Circuit District at age 32, making him the first Black person to hold the position.

The story has an almost cinematic wrinkle: Hyde-Smith herself blocked President Joe Biden's nomination of Colom to a federal judgeship in the Northern District of Mississippi, citing past support from a PAC tied to George Soros and Colom's support for transgender rights and healthcare. That blocked nomination freed him to run for the Senate seat she holds. He is now leading her.

Colom's campaign leaned into the fight for Black Americans' right to vote, producing an ad about civil rights leader Medgar Evers and how his efforts ultimately cost the NAACP's first Mississippi field officer his life.

What it means beyond Mississippi

If it holds, this win sends a signal that the Deep South's electoral map is not permanently frozen. It tells every candidate who has been told their state is too red to bother that the "unwinnable" calculation is itself a self-fulfilling prophecy. Colom said, "I am going to serve with integrity. I am going to serve with honesty, transparency. I never planned to be just another Democratic senator. I planned to be Mississippi's Democratic senator."

That distinction matters. He ran on issues specific to Mississippi: a higher minimum wage, lower costs and protections for rural hospitals. He didn't parachute in with a national message. He worked the ground his family has stood on for seven generations, and that is exactly the playbook that every person told they started too late, or tried in the wrong place, needs to see.

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