Based on Alberto’s findings, there’s a chance it’s from the previous civilization

Donini's erosion-based model is genuinely interesting, but one statistical study that hasn't been peer-reviewed or replicated doesn't overturn a consensus built on radiocarbon dating, inscriptions, workers' villages, logistical records, and a clear architectural lineage from smaller, simpler structures to Giza.

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What Donini actually found

Alberto Donini compared erosion on stones once protected by the pyramid's limestone casing with erosion on exposed stones, then ran the data through a statistical model. That model estimated a 68% chance that the Great Pyramid dates to between 9000 BCE and 37,000 BCE, with an average of around 23,000 BCE. If true, that would put its construction well before the Younger Dryas, placing it squarely in the territory of a pre-Ice Age civilization.

Why the mainstream hasn't moved

The problem is method, not imagination. The study runs counter to decades of archaeological evidence. Countless studies and teams have determined that the pyramids fit neatly into the known evolution of Egyptian architecture, supported by pottery, inscriptions, and radiocarbon dating of organic materials. All of that evidence points to roughly the same conclusion: the Great Pyramid was built around 2,600 BCE.

Erosion rates are affected by many variables: sand coverage, the angle of prevailing winds, microclimate differences across the structure, and the history of the casing stones themselves. Using erosion as a primary dating tool, without anchoring it to a well-established erosion rate for that specific environment, gives a model wide enough to span tens of thousands of years, which is exactly what Donini's range of 9000 to 37,000 BCE shows.

The "previous civilization" question

This thread runs deeper than Donini. Real civilizations leave traces: stone tools, figurines, bones, signs of family structures and migration journeys, remains of meals, seeds and footprints. If a sophisticated society built the pyramids 20,000 years ago, we'd expect to find something from their everyday life nearby, tools, waste, burials. So far, nothing of that kind predates the Old Kingdom at Giza.

Sites like Göbekli Tepe in Turkey, radiocarbon-dated to approximately 11,600 years ago, do show that hunter-gatherers without pottery or metallurgy were capable of quarrying and erecting 20-ton stone pillars, which is remarkable and genuinely challenges how we think about early human capability. But remarkable doesn't equal pyramids, and Göbekli Tepe's builders left exactly the kind of debris and organic material that confirms a real date.

The pyramid builders remain ancient Egyptians, until a body of evidence says otherwise.

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This follows on from
What are the younger drayas?

The Younger Dryas was a rapid, severe cold snap that struck the Northern Hemisphere roughly 12,900 years ago and lasted about 1,200 years, interrupting what had been a warming trend at the end of the last Ice Age.

Read that one first

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